Weaving Models With MRC
After having highlighted the need to go beyond probabilistic risk modeling, Georges-Yves Kervern undertook to model danger situations. At that time, he relied on Description Theory, a conceptualisation method developed by physicist Mioara Mugur-Schächter.
Early in her career, Mioara Mugur-Schächter completed a thesis under the supervision of Louis de Broglie, the father of wave-corpuscle duality. Specialist in Quantum Mechanics and baffled by the distance that separates naturally observable daily life on the one hand, and the object of study of Quantum Mechanics on the other hand, she developed a method of conceptualisation that helps explain step by step the conceptual stages that researchers go through to model their objects of study: the Method of Relativised Conceptualisation (MRC).
Mioara Mugur-Schächter devoted a book with an evocative title to this method: "Sur le tissage des connaissances" ("On the Weaving of Knowledge"). The reader may wonder what guided the choice of this title. Below, you can see a visual representation of the MRC steps that led to second-order Cindynics: without needing to go deeper, you can thus understand why Mioara Mugur-Schächter speaks of "weaving" knowledge.
And then you measure how deeply risk and vulnerabilities of danger situations, described by first-order Cindynics, are interweaved with conflictualities and conflicts, described by second-order Cindynics.
This helps you to better understand why the cindynical method is particularly suited to the complexity of real situations where risks and conflicts co-exist.